Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.242510 1.520824 1.882408 2.403490 3.166783 4.303038 6.260299
2025-12-07 0.887329 1.188591 1.641995 2.432623 3.937189 7.179470 17.350231
2025-12-14 0.693940 0.978231 1.444978 2.366087 4.492882 10.890143 55.771392
2025-12-21 0.581311 0.849553 1.318714 2.337838 5.115609 16.927695 431.127725
2025-12-28 0.530146 0.804599 1.318407 2.563641 6.752103 38.100400 NaN
2026-01-04 0.481089 0.750434 1.280828 2.681848 8.351024 94.481522 NaN
2026-01-11 0.433430 0.688700 1.209124 2.671217 9.512124 253.321581 NaN
2026-01-18 0.390017 0.627432 1.122972 2.576400 10.159429 791.396131 NaN
2026-01-25 0.362601 0.592746 1.088133 2.627945 12.039531 NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.343141 0.570696 1.077256 2.758649 15.284314 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.319937 0.537698 1.032557 2.744747 17.380343 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.296448 0.501306 0.972582 2.644711 18.264731 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.283933 0.487094 0.968122 2.781423 24.181592 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.268419 0.464692 0.938059 2.795137 28.839579 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.251633 0.437774 0.891214 2.709702 30.972451 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.238131 0.416804 0.857488 2.674531 35.105466 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.234036 0.416302 0.881103 2.950643 60.827191 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.226714 0.407629 0.879466 3.096199 95.062272 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.216655 0.391648 0.853257 3.083072 120.954598 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.205449 0.372088 0.813413 2.966288 127.937898 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.198585 0.362198 0.802044 3.029722 197.221692 NaN NaN
2026-04-26 0.193848 0.356917 0.804274 3.191130 447.436097 NaN NaN
2026-05-03 0.186532 0.344831 0.782884 3.173925 702.512730 NaN NaN